Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 16

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Muleño		Racing Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.95	2.3
	3.1	2.95	2.25
	3.1	2.95	2.25
	3.07	3.13	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.56)	3 ↑ (2.94)	2.26 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muleño
29.8%

Draw
30.2%

Racing Murcia
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

30.6%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muleño's form might have worsened.

Racing Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muleño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 9).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Muleño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Muleño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.01.24	Minera - Muleño	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Muleño - Balsicas Atlético	4:2 ✺
03.12.23	Real Murcia B - Muleño	5:0 ✺
26.11.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Muleño	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Muleño - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLTL
- Racing Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.01.24	Racing Murcia - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Unión Molinense - Racing Murcia	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Racing Murcia - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Lorca Deportiva - Racing Murcia	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Racing Murcia - UCAM Murcia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.01.23	Racing Murcia - Muleño	2:1
11.09.22	Muleño - Racing Murcia	0:0
14.02.21	Racing Murcia - Muleño	4:0

Muleño - Racing Murcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide