Match Info

Date: 14 October 2020, Wednesday


	Municipal		Maglódi

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.48	3.7	5.2
	1.45	3.8	6.4
	1.46	4.2	6.72
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.47	3.92	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.77)	3.86 ↑ (3.2)	6.31 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal
62.2%

Draw
23.5%

Maglódi
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

19.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Municipal's performance.

Maglódi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maglódi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-27.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maglódi than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maglódi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Municipal - Maglódi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Municipal is indisputable favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Municipal won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
10.10.20	Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	Municipal - Sacachispas	3:0 ✺
20.09.20	Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	Municipal - Deportivo Sanarate	5:0 ✺
05.09.20	Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWW
- Maglódi TC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
10.10.20	Maglódi - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	Deportivo Guastatoya - Maglódi	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Maglódi - Deportivo Sanarate	2:0 ✺
12.09.20	Maglódi - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
05.09.20	Deportivo Achuapa - Maglódi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
29.08.20	Maglódi - Municipal	1:1
11.03.20	Municipal - Maglódi	3:0
18.01.20	Maglódi - Municipal	1:1
23.11.19	Maglódi - Municipal	3:2
14.09.19	Municipal - Maglódi	3:2
16.03.19	Municipal - Maglódi	1:1
19.01.19	Maglódi - Municipal	2:0

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