Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno (Liberia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Municipal Liberia		Herediano

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.63
	2.52	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.57	3.22	2.86
	2.62	3.19	2.72	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.52	3.02	2.62	Watch
	2.57	3.1	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)	3.1 ↓ (3.41)	2.69 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Liberia
36.4%

Draw
29.6%

Herediano
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.6%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Liberia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Herediano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Municipal Liberia - Herediano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Municipal Liberia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Herediano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Municipal Liberia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monreal A. (C) 7. Johnson S. 5. Molina Y. 30. Huertas J. 15. Reyes C. 24. Francis W. 31. Padilla S. 10. Hernandez Y. 99. Ramirez R. 16. Hernandez A. 33. Lesme F.	31. Carvajal D. (C) 5. Quiros H. 38. Montes G. 23. Rubio E. 16. Araya D. 55. Roman Y. 25. Bravo E. 24. Rodriguez S. 22. Murillo A. 8. Cruz A. 77. Montenegro J.
Substitutes
32. Castrillo J. (G) 22. Hudson A. 21. Orellano L. 17. Reyes N. 4. Rios J. 14. Rodriguez F. 42. Ruiz J. 11. Torres E. 39. Villalobos M. 70. Villarreal A.	10. Aguilar E. 11. Araya R. 99. Brown K. 1. Cruz A. (G) 37. Fuller K. 9. Hernandez M. 26. Juarez E. 97. Leal R. 17. Tejeda Y. 46. Viquez T.
Coaches
Cardozo J.	Giacone J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Rubio E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bravo E. ↓, Aguilar E. ↑,
46', Roman Y. ↓, Araya R. ↑,
58', Montenegro J. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
59', Hernandez A. ↓, Villalobos M. ↑,
77', Hernandez Y. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Ramirez R. ⚽,
84', Cruz A. ↓, Leal R. ↑,
88', Lesme F. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
88', Ramirez R. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
90+2', Villalobos M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 1.

Recent form of Municipal Liberia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Herediano is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Herediano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Liberia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Herediano	9	2	1	6	8:14	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Herediano - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.33%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Liberia
Costa Rican Primera Division
22.01.26	Municipal Liberia - Pérez Zeledón	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Guadalupe - Municipal Liberia	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	3:0 ✺
10.12.25	Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTLT
- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.01.26	Herediano - Guadalupe	4:0 ✺
17.01.26	Herediano - Deportivo Saprissa	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Sporting San José - Herediano	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Pérez Zeledón - Herediano	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Herediano - San Carlos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
19.10.25	Municipal Liberia - Herediano	1:0
31.08.25	Herediano - Municipal Liberia	1:0
11.04.25	Municipal Liberia - Herediano	0:1
08.02.25	Herediano - Municipal Liberia	2:1
24.11.24	Municipal Liberia - Herediano	1:1
17.09.24	Herediano - Municipal Liberia	5:4
28.02.24	Herediano - Municipal Liberia	4:0

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