Match Info

Copa Costa Rica - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela)


	Alajuelense		Municipal Liberia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.33
	1.75	3.1	4.45	Watch
	1.8	3.05	5.13
	1.78	3.11	4.89	Watch
	1.8	2.9	4.33
	1.8	2.88	5.11	Watch
	1.84	2.85	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)	3.02 ↓ (3.37)	4.75 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
50.8%

Draw
30.1%

Municipal Liberia
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.9%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

26.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Municipal Liberia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Municipal Liberia (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Municipal Liberia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mora B. (G) 29. Aguilar D. 46. Aguilar J. 27. Alvarado J. 36. Badilla I. 47. Bonilla K. 10. Campbell J. (C) 7. Hernandez A. 8. Pilone M. 3. Quesada E. 25. van der Putten S.	1. Monreal A. (C) 38. Chal J. 16. Hernandez A. 22. Hudson A. 30. Huertas J. 5. Molina Y. 31. Padilla S. 99. Ramirez R. 15. Reyes C. 4. Rios J. 12. Zuniga F.
Substitutes
37. Brown M. 45. Chan G. 23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 2. Paz D. 44. Romulus G. 28. Rosales S. 11. Vargas K. 9. Zaldivar A.	32. Castrillo J. (G) 24. Francis W. 7. Johnson S. 21. Orellano L. 17. Reyes N. 14. Rodriguez F. 42. Ruiz J. 11. Torres E. 39. Villalobos M. 70. Villarreal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chal J. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
46', Huertas J. ↓, Johnson S. ↑,
52', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Alajuelense is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:12. (average 2.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alajuelense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
27.01.26	Guadalupe - Alajuelense	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Alajuelense - San Carlos	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Cartagines - Alajuelense	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
15.01.26	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLTT
- Municipal Liberia
Costa Rican Primera Division
28.01.26	San Carlos - Municipal Liberia	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Municipal Liberia - Herediano	1:0 ✺
22.01.26	Municipal Liberia - Pérez Zeledón	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Guadalupe - Municipal Liberia	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
15.01.26	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	2:2
13.12.25	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	3:0
10.12.25	Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense	1:1
02.11.25	Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense	1:4
13.09.25	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	2:0
07.05.25	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	2:0
14.01.25	Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense	1:3

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