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Current Win Probability
Municipal Liberia 45.9%
Draw 29.7%
Puntarenas FC 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
29%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
24.9%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Liberia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Puntarenas FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal Liberia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puntarenas FC than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puntarenas FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Municipal Liberia - Puntarenas FC Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Municipal Liberia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Puntarenas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Municipal Liberia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monreal A. (G) 5. Molina Y. 42. Ruiz J. 24. Francis W. 15. Reyes C. 7. Johnson S. 31. Padilla S. 4. Rios J. 99. Ramirez R. 39. Villalobos M. 11. Torres E.
1. Pineda A. (G) 4. Decas W. 98. Gomez I. 15. Munoz H. 12. Villalobos K. 60. Leiva J. 14. Sinclair A. 30. Segura U. 9. Carballo R. 25. Gomez K. 11. Taylor R.
Substitutes
32. Castrillo J. (G) 3. Farrier H. 10. Hernandez Y. 22. Hudson A. 33. Lesme F. 21. Orellano L. 6. Pena R. 17. Reyes N. 14. Rodriguez F. 12. Zuniga F.
77. Alvarez P. 33. Barrera G. (G) 36. Camareno D. 41. Cordero D. 7. Hernandez J. 8. Lopez J. 21. Rodriguez D. 5. Samadian F.
Coaches
Cardozo J.
Alpizar C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Francis W. 🟥,
21', Taylor R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
51', 0 - 1, Gomez K. ⚽,
58', Leiva J. 🟨,
59', Torres E. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
63', Taylor R. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
63', Leiva J. ↓, Samadian F. ↑,
69', Johnson S. 🟨,
71', Ramirez R. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
71', Rios J. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
72', Segura U. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Gomez K. ⚽,
79', Villalobos K. 🟨,
81', Johnson S. ↓, Farrier H. ↑,
81', Padilla S. ↓, Lesme F. ↑,
82', Munoz H. ↓, Cordero D. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Alvarez P. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 4, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 4, Lesme F. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 2.
Municipal Liberia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Puntarenas has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Municipal Liberia might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Liberia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Puntarenas FC
9
3
2
4
8:13
-5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Puntarenas FC - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 26.14%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Costa-rica
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Monreal A. (G) 
Molina Y. 
Reyes C. 
Decas W. 
Gomez I. 
Carballo R. 
Orellano L. 
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