Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Tusker		Muranga Seal

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.82	3.05
	2.42	2.97	3.13
	2.42	2.75	3.16	Watch
	2.4	2.63	3
	2.37	2.83	3.29
	2.05	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.08)	2.83 ↓ (3.02)	3.19 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tusker
39.2%

Draw
32.2%

Muranga Seal
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Muranga Seal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Tusker - Muranga Seal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Muranga (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Muranga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).

Tusker is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Muranga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tusker is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Tusker won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tusker	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Muranga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
21.02.26	Shabana - Tusker	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Mathare United - Tusker	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Tusker - Posta Rangers	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Kenya CB - Tusker	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Tusker - Bandari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWL
- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
21.02.26	Muranga Seal - Bandari	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Sofapaka - Muranga Seal	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	Muranga Seal - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ulinzi Stars - Muranga Seal	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Muranga Seal - Bidco United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
26.10.25	Muranga Seal - Tusker	0:1
10.05.25	Tusker - Muranga Seal	2:0
01.12.24	Muranga Seal - Tusker	1:3
05.11.23	Muranga Seal - Tusker	2:1

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