Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 15

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Murata		Juvenes-Dogana

	1	X	2
	6.9	3.95	1.4	Watch
	7.21	4.26	1.36
	7.41	4.27	1.39	Watch
	8	3.9	1.36
	9.15	4.15	1.33
	7	4.25	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.61 ↑ (3.9)	4.13 ↑ (3.45)	1.37 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murata
11.9%

Draw
21.9%

Juvenes-Dogana
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.4%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.5%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murata's form might have worsened.

Juvenes-Dogana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juvenes-Dogana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juvenes-Dogana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Murata - Juvenes Dogana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juvenes-Dogana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
12', 0 - 1, Lisi K. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Aprea M. ⚽,
23', 0 - 3, Lisi K. ⚽, Benedetti G. (A),
31', 0 - 4, Sartini N. ⚽,
35', 0 - 5, Amadori N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 5, Tahiri J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murata won 4.

Murata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Juvenes-Dogana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Juvenes-Dogana is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Juvenes-Dogana will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Murata won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Murata won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Juvenes/Dogana	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3
12	Murata	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Murata
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.02.26	AC Libertas - Murata	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Folgore - Murata	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Murata - La Fiorita	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Murata - Cailungo	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Faetano - Murata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.02.26	La Fiorita - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Cailungo	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Fiori	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Cosmos - Juvenes-Dogana	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Juvenes-Dogana - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
02.02.25	Murata - Juvenes-Dogana	1:0
09.03.24	Juvenes-Dogana - Murata	2:4
25.11.23	Murata - Juvenes-Dogana	4:1
11.02.23	Murata - Juvenes-Dogana	2:2
30.09.22	Juvenes-Dogana - Murata	0:2
12.09.20	Juvenes-Dogana - Murata	1:1

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