Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 19

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday


	Muğlaspor		Kastamonuspor

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.65	5.15
	1.59	3.72	5.28	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.75
	1.66	3.82	4.65
	1.58	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.47)	3.64 ↓ (3.75)	4.97 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Muğlaspor
56.9%

Draw
24.9%

Kastamonuspor
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

24.1%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

23.5%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muğlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Kastamonuspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muğlaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Muğlaspor - Kastamonuspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Muğlaspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kastamonuspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Abdioglu Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Kahya K. C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kastamonuspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Muğlaspor is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muğlaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
20.12.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Muğlaspor	0:0 ✺
16.12.25	Muğlaspor - Karaman Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Muğlaspor - Batman Petrolspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Muğlaspor - Bodrumspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWL
- Kastamonuspor
Turkish Second League White Group
16.12.25	Kastamonuspor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:4 ✺
12.12.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Kastamonuspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Batman Petrolspor - Kastamonuspor	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Kastamonuspor - Altınordu	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW

Upcoming Matches