Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leganés		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.3	4.35
	1.96	3.35	4.55
	1.29	4.86	11.70	Watch
	1.84	3.42	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)	5.8 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
56.1%

Draw
27%

Málaga
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

27.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

27.3%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Leganés - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 11. Duk 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 10. Cruz J. 9. de la Fuente M. 19. Garcia D.	1. Herrero A. (C) 31. Rafita 16. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 8. Juanpe 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Munoz J. 9. Chupe 37. Rodriguez R.
Substitutes
21. Campos A. 22. Figueredo S. 17. Garcia N. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 23. Millan A. 18. Pauwels B. 20. Plano O. 3. Saenz J. 13. San Roman M. (G)	7. Abaida H. 5. Brasanac D. 12. Dotor C. 14. Garcia V. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 23. Merino I. 20. Montero J. 35. Ochoa A. 3. Puga C.
Coaches
Lopez P.	Pellicer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Garcia D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Galilea E. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
46', Chupe ↓, Merino I. ↑,
58', Duk ↓, Millan A. ↑,
58', de la Fuente M. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
70', Marvel ↓, Saenz J. ↑,
70', Garcia D. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Millan A. ⚽, Pena R. (A),
74', Juanpe ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
74', Rodriguez R. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
82', Munoz J. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
88', Cruz J. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
90', Garcia N. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 3.

Leganés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Málaga is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Leganés is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Leganés: Cisse S. (International duty) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (Ankle Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Club Friendly
13.10.25	Leganés - Levante	3:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.25	Mirandés - Leganés	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	FC Andorra - Leganés	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Leganés - Castellón	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Leganés - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWLL
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.25	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Burgos - Málaga	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Huesca - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.03.23	Málaga - Leganés	2:0
12.10.22	Leganés - Málaga	1:0
16.04.22	Leganés - Málaga	0:3
18.12.21	Málaga - Leganés	0:2
24.05.21	Leganés - Málaga	1:0
21.11.20	Málaga - Leganés	1:2
Spanish LaLiga
03.03.18	Leganés - Málaga	2:0

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