Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	3.95
	1.82	3.5	3.97
	1.82	3.24	4.18
	1.9	3.33	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.19)	3.34 ↑ (2.99)	3.96 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
49.6%

Draw
27.3%

Melilla
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.3%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linares Deportivo's performance.

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linares Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Linares Deportivo - Melilla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Linares (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Linares (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Linares (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linares won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Melilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Linares is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Linares won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Linares won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Linares	5	2	1	2	6:7	-1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Melilla - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.2%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Puente Genil - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	CD Extremadura - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Antoniano - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLTWW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.12.25	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Almeria B - Melilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Melilla - Estepona	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Puente Genil - Melilla	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.03.24	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	0:0
17.12.23	Melilla - Linares Deportivo	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.04.17	Melilla - Linares Deportivo	2:0
04.12.16	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	1:2
30.03.16	Melilla - Linares Deportivo	0:0
11.10.15	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	0:0

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