Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Alcoyano		Málaga

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.2	3	2.25
	3.31	3.02	2.35
	3.18	3.04	2.3
	3.1	3.05	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	3.03 ↑ (2.84)	2.26 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
29%

Draw
30.3%

Málaga
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

30.9%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29.4%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Alcoyano - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Valens J. (G) 18. Anton J. 4. Vega A. 16. Farru 3. Nieto S. 8. Juanan 5. Albisua H. 7. Armental A. 11. Ganet P. 21. Lara J. A. 9. Pradera M.	1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 15. Moussa D. 4. Galilea E. 20. Monte N. 16. Rodriguez G. 12. Molina M. 7. Ferreiro D. 22. Lorenzo D. 14. Garcia V. 17. Dioni
Substitutes
10. Aguero 14. Carrasco K. 23. de Palmas R. 25. Ferrer M. 2. Ferriz P. 15. Jimenez J. 17. Lopez S. 1. Perales J. (G) 12. Selma D.	9. Aviles J. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 5. Juande 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 29. Merino I. 25. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 3. Puga C. 18. Sanchez D. 11. Villodres K.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Málaga will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.02.24	Melilla - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	2:3 ✺
03.02.24	Algeciras - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Alcoyano - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Ibiza - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTWL
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.02.24	Málaga - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Melilla - Málaga	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Málaga - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
27.01.24	Granada B - Málaga	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Málaga - Castellón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.11.23	Málaga - Alcoyano	1:2

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