Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)


	Málaga		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.4	2.9	3.15
	2.44	2.99	3.19
	2.35	3.06	3.07
	2.26	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.93)	3.02 ↑ (2.8)	3.07 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
39.6%

Draw
30.4%

Ibiza
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

31.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

31.9%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Málaga's performance.

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ibiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Málaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Málaga - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 12. Molina M. 7. Ferreiro D. 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Villodres K. 17. Dioni	13. Sequeira P. (G) 17. Medina U. 23. Escassi A. 22. Pepe 5. Jimenez J. 21. Eugeni 8. Fausto A. (C) 19. Soko P. 14. Gallar A. 10. Jamelli 9. Obolskiy N.
Substitutes
9. Aviles J. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 5. Juande 8. Juanpe 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 15. Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 3. Puga C. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L.	6. Alvarez J. 2. Arguelles D. 20. Arroyo R. 4. Bobadilla P. 7. Camara S. 15. Joseda 24. Matas L. (G) 11. Molina A. 12. Monjonell E. 16. Olabe R. 18. Omoigui C. 1. Reynet B. (G)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Málaga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ibiza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.02.24	Alcoyano - Málaga	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Málaga - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Melilla - Málaga	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Málaga - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
27.01.24	Granada B - Málaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.02.24	Ibiza - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Linares Deportivo - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Ibiza - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ibiza - Granada B	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Intercity - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Ibiza - Málaga	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
27.05.23	Málaga - Ibiza	1:1
11.12.22	Ibiza - Málaga	1:1
22.01.22	Málaga - Ibiza	0:5
22.08.21	Ibiza - Málaga	2:2

Málaga - Ibiza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide