Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 13

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Málaga Juniors		Mijas-Las Lagunas

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.85
	2.45	2.95	2.8
	2.42	2.82	2.84
	2.43	2.98	2.93	Watch
	2.4	3.04	2.84
	2.45	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.86)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	2.84 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga Juniors
37.4%

Draw
30.8%

Mijas-Las Lagunas
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

30.3%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Málaga Juniors's performance.

Mijas-Las Lagunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mijas-Las Lagunas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Málaga Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mijas-Las Lagunas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Málaga Juniors - Mijas Las Lagunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
16', 1 - 2, ⚽,
38', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Málaga Juniors FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
24.11.24	Malaga B - Málaga Juniors	3:0 ✺
17.11.24	Málaga Juniors - Torreperogil	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Málaga Juniors - Martos	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Marbellí - Málaga Juniors	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Málaga Juniors - El Palo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWTT
- CP Mijas-Las Lagunas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
24.11.24	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Marbellí	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	El Palo - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Huétor Tájar	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Torredonjimeno - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Atlético Porcuna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWTTW

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