Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Romano (Mérida)


	Mérida AD		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.9
	2.6	2.8	2.6
	2.5	2.8	2.9
	2.48	2.95	2.75
	2.7	2.93	2.84
	2.62	2.8	2.75
	2.6	2.94	2.71
	2.5	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.22)	2.9 (2.9)	2.78 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
35.7%

Draw
31.4%

Badajoz
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.6%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mérida AD - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Badajoz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mérida AD will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.12.22	Fuenlabrada - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Mérida AD - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Ferrol - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Mérida AD - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Utebo - Mérida AD	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTWW
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.12.22	Badajoz - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
26.11.22	Badajoz - Córdoba	2:4 ✺
20.11.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
05.11.22	Badajoz - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.03.21	Badajoz - Mérida AD	1:0
13.12.20	Mérida AD - Badajoz	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.10.19	Badajoz - Mérida AD	1:1
25.02.18	Badajoz - Mérida AD	4:2
08.10.17	Mérida AD - Badajoz	3:0

Upcoming Matches