The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Talavera de la Reina 35.4%
Draw 31.5%
Mérida AD 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
29.3%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
29.1%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mérida AD will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 2. Cuenca D. 4. Lopez A. 5. Molina S. 3. Roig A. 21. Montero Sergio 18. Capo P. 16. Navarro I. 14. Molina A. 19. Gomez V. 7. Di Renzo G.
1. Csenterics A. (G) 20. Jacobo R. 5. Dominguez J. 4. Pareja L. 23. Verges E. 11. Areso J. 21. Beneit R. 8. Solar M. 18. Dibrani B. 14. Artola J. 9. Garcia A.
Substitutes
15. Arroyo N. 10. Ayllon I. 23. Farrando M. 9. Moreno M. 6. Pitu 13. Rocafort R. (G) 8. Sanchez L.
16. Capitas M. 26. Gil A. (G) 15. Martinez G. 6. Miki 24. Pereira R. 19. Pipe 22. Rivas M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Jacobo R. ↓, Pipe ↑,
16', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Montero Sergio ⚽,
45', Molina A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Cuenca D. ⚽,
62', Solar M. 🟨,
62', Molina A. ↓, Pitu ↑,
70', 🟨,
70', Dominguez J. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
70', Artola J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
74', 🟨,
81', Dibrani B. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
82', Gomez V. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
83', Navarro I. 🟨,
90+3', Areso J. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).
Talavera has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mérida AD is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mérida AD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).