Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Romano Jose Fouto (Mérida)

Referee: Gonzalez Paez G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Mérida AD		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.55
	2.65	3.10	2.37
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.58	3.25	2.84
	2.69	3.14	2.64	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.75
	2.58	3.3	2.63
	2.5	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.68)	3.14 ↓ (3.24)	2.6 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
35.6%

Draw
29.2%

UD Logroñés
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.3%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+2%)

Mérida AD - UD Logroñés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Mérida AD (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Csenterics A. (G) 2. Jay A. 4. Gonzalez Nacho 16. Fito 5. Sanz H. 8. Solar M. 21. Beneit R. (C) 18. Dibrani B. 6. Lopez J. 24. Kone 19. Sandoval D.	13. Sobron F. (G) 14. Navarro D. 22. Garcia C. 4. Cabetas E. 3. Camacho S. (C) 21. Santana I. 17. Issman L. 6. Maroto M. 20. Morales A. 7. Amigo D. 23. Ramirez Carrasco M. A.
Substitutes
7. Areso J. 20. Barbu 14. Carrillo H. 10. Doncel C. 11. El Ftouhi S. 26. Gil A. (G) 17. Guagua D. 9. Hallsson S. 13. Juhasz I. (G) 15. Salguero A.	5. Alvarez A. 19. Asenjo I. 18. Ba P. 11. Baselga M. 27. Brito P. 30. Gamen E. (G) 15. Pedreno M. 10. Rivero Q. 2. Val J. 16. Zabala M.
Coaches
Beltran F.	Mendia U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Solar M. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Morales A. ⚽, Amigo D. (A),
20', Issman L. 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Morales A. ⚽, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. (A),
42', Sandoval D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Dibrani B. ↓, El Ftouhi S. ↑,
54', 1 - 3, Santana I. ⚽,
55', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
63', Solar M. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
63', Sanz H. ↓, Carrillo H. ↑,
64', 2 - 3, El Ftouhi S. ⚽,
69', Maroto M. ↓, Rivero Q. ↑,
69', Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↓, Zabala M. ↑,
69', Amigo D. ↓, Baselga M. ↑,
70', Baselga M. 🟨,
72', 3 - 3, Sandoval D. ⚽,
79', El Ftouhi S. 🟨,
83', Santana I. ↓, Ba P. ↑,
83', Morales A. ↓, Brito P. ↑,
89', Kone 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 4, Brito P. ⚽,
90+7', Fito ↓, Hallsson S. ↑,
90+9', Navarro D. 🟨,
90+12', 3 - 5, Baselga M. ⚽,

Preview

In recent outings, Mérida AD has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Logroñés is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	UD Logrones	6	5	1	0	15:7	8	16
14	AD Merida	6	2	0	4	9:11	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.09.26	Ponferradina - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Mérida AD - Mirandés	3:4 ✺
06.09.26	Leonesa - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Mérida AD - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWW
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.09.26	UD Logroñés - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	UD Ourense - UD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Zamora - UD Logroñés	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	UD Logroñés - CD Extremadura	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	UD Logroñés - Mirandés	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TWWWW

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