Match Info

Challenge League - Round 4

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Mġarr United		Balzan

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.35	1.75	Watch
	2.84	3.40	2.24	Watch
	4.47	3.45	1.71
	3.1	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.97)	3.36 ↑ (3.24)	1.93 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mġarr United
25.2%

Draw
27.2%

Balzan
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.9%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mġarr United's form might have worsened.

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Balzan's recent form is better than expected.

Mġarr United - Balzan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Balzan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Gabriel C. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Gabriel C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 0 - 3, Dimeji A. ⚽,
60', 1 - 3, ⚽,
77', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
27.09.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Mġarr United	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Mġarr United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	St. Andrews - Mġarr United	0:4 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
19.04.25	Mġarr United - Tarxien Rainbows	1:3 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
13.04.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Mġarr United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWLT
- Balzan FC
Maltese Challenge League
27.09.25	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sirens - Balzan	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Balzan - Gudja United	0:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
03.05.25	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTT

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