Match Info

Challenge League - Round 9

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Pietà Hotspurs		Mġarr United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.45	3.95	Watch
	1.72	3.56	4.05
	1.73	3.75	4.01	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4
	1.72	3.44	4.38
	1.71	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.08)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	4.03 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pietà Hotspurs
52.2%

Draw
25.5%

Mġarr United
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pietà Hotspurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pietà Hotspurs's performance.

Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mġarr United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pietà Hotspurs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mġarr United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pietà Hotspurs - Mġarr United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
41', 1 - 0, Brincat J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Cristhyan Noto ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ))

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pietà Hotspurs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Pietà Hotspurs won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
10.12.25	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Melita - Pietà Hotspurs	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Santa Lucia - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWW
- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
10.12.25	Mġarr United - Melita	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Marsa - Mġarr United	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Mġarr United - Santa Lucia	3:3 ✺
01.11.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mġarr United	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mġarr United - Balzan	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2
23.11.24	Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs	4:0
13.02.22	Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs	0:2

Pietà Hotspurs - Mġarr United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide