Match Info

Catarinense U20 - Round 14

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday


	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20		Nação Araquari U20

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.33
	1.68	3.59	3.83
				Watch
	1.63	3.82	4.47
	1.58	3.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)	3.84 ↓ (4.15)	4.23 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
55.5%

Draw
23.3%

Nação Araquari U20
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

21.9%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

20.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Nação Araquari U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nação Araquari U20 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Nação Araquari U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Marcílio Dias U20 (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marcílio Dias U20 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 10).

Recent performances by Marcílio Dias U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nação U20 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Marcílio Dias U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marcílio Dias U20 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Marcílio Dias U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
25.06.25	Barra Santa Catarina U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	3:0 ✺
20.06.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Brusque U20	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Joinville U20	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Concórdia U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	3:3 ✺
01.06.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Criciúma U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWTT
- Nação Araquari U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
28.06.25	Concórdia U20 - Nação Araquari U20	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Nação Araquari U20 - Joinville U20	1:4 ✺
14.06.25	Nação Araquari U20 - Figueirense U20	0:4 ✺
07.06.25	Chapecoense U20 - Nação Araquari U20	4:0 ✺
04.06.25	Avaí U20 - Nação Araquari U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Catarinense U20
03.05.25	Nação Araquari U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	1:0
12.06.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Nação Araquari U20	3:0

Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Nação Araquari U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide