Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Náxara		Melilla

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	2
	3.8	3.4	1.98	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2	Watch
	4.19	3.1	1.96
	3.8	3.4	2	Watch
	4.25	3.38	1.89
	3.75	3.3	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.1)	3.32 ↑ (3.13)	1.97 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
23.9%

Draw
28.4%

Melilla
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

30%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

29.8%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náxara's form might have worsened.

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náxara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Náxara - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pradas V. (G) 21. Garcia J. 3. Loza O. 8. Martinez M. P. 19. Merino A. 16. Ochoa I. 9. Orodea J. 22. Parrado D. 12. Perez M. 15. Rojo I. 7. So Lora A. A.	5. Masogo A. (G) 16. Caro J. 20. Garcia D. 22. Gnali J. 10. Gonzalez J. 12. Hernandez D. 9. Jose Enrique 2. Pepe Romero 19. Rodriguez M. 13. Salcedo J. (C) 18. Siddiki O.
Substitutes
23. Alcalde A. 10. Blanco Lopez J. 18. Cordoba Monterrosa M. 20. Martinez V. 5. Sharikadze N. 13. Tono (G) 11. Villoslada I.	8. Cotan A. 7. Garcia M. 14. Marchena A. 15. Martin D. 24. Serrano J. (G) 11. Vinicius Tanque 3. Yuste A.

Preview

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Náxara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Melilla is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.10.23	Utebo - Náxara	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Tudelano - Náxara	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Náxara - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Barakaldo - Náxara	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Náxara - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT
- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Melilla	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Melilla - Antequera	0:1 ✺
12.10.23	Málaga - Melilla	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Melilla - Intercity	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Ceuta - Melilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLT

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