Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Ceuta		Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.63	3.6	5.5
	1.68	3.59	5.46
	1.59	3.62	5.65
	1.62	3.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	5.25 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ceuta
56.7%

Draw
25.8%

Melilla
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Ceuta - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (G) 2. Rodriguez F. 4. Caparros A. 20. Danese F. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 15. Doncel C. 8. Melendez A. 5. Lolo Gonzalez 23. Gonzalez N. 22. Teguia C. 11. Garcia P.	1. Montoya J. (G) 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 3. Yuste A. 15. Martin D. 14. Marchena A. 6. Martin A. 18. Siddiki O. 10. Gonzalez J. 17. Perez S. 20. Garcia D.
Substitutes
7. Ahmed A. 10. Carnicer F. 9. Cristian 17. Cuevas A. 18. Falcon E. 21. Jota 3. Macias A. 13. Mejias T. (G) 19. Romera D. 24. Stopajnik T. (G) 12. Uche C.	7. Garcia M. 22. Gnali J. 12. Hernandez D. 21. Hernandez J. 9. Jose Enrique 5. Masogo A. 2. Pepe Romero 13. Salcedo J. (G) 11. Vinicius Tanque

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Ceuta in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Melilla is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ceuta is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ceuta to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.09.23	Atlético Baleares - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Ceuta - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Madrid B - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Ceuta - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	San Fernando - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWTW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.09.23	Melilla - Algeciras	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Melilla - Castellón	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Melilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLLT

Upcoming Matches