Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Náxara		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.2	1.85
	4.57	3.33	1.87
	4.25	3.41	1.79	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	3.95	3.54	1.88
	4.5	3.25	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (4.05)	3.31 ↑ (3.29)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
22.1%

Draw
27.8%

Real Unión de Irun
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

27.6%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

27.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Náxara - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Tellechea I. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Campos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 1 - 2, Arruti M. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, Tellechea I. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Náxara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Unión is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Unión is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Náxara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Náxara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.12.25	Alavés B - Náxara	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Náxara - Ejea	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Tudelano - Náxara	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Amorebieta - Náxara	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Náxara - Alfaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTLTW
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.12.25	Real Unión de Irun - Zaragoza B	5:1 ✺
07.12.25	Alfaro - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Utebo	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alavés B - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.08.25	Náxara - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
28.09.22	Real Unión de Irun - Náxara	1:0

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