Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Náxara		Utebo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.98	2.18
	3.43	2.97	2.27
	3.28	3	2.26
	3.4	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	2.18 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
27.8%

Draw
30.2%

Utebo
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Náxara - Utebo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Merino A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Viti 🟥,
62', 0 - 1, Lopez I. ⚽,
83', 0 - 2, Delgado J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Náxara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Utebo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Utebo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Náxara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Náxara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.10.25	Mutilvera - Náxara	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Náxara - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sestao - Náxara	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Náxara - Gernika	1:4 ✺
14.09.25	UD Logroñés - Náxara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTLL
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.10.25	Utebo - SD Logroñés	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Alfaro - Utebo	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Utebo - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Zaragoza B - Utebo	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Utebo - Gernika	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.03.24	Náxara - Utebo	1:0
28.10.23	Utebo - Náxara	3:2

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