Match Info

Kakkonen Group C

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Mosedal (Närpiö)


	Närpes		Kuopion Elo

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.45	3.9
	1.64	4.54	3.87
	1.63	4.5	4.05
	1.64	4.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	4.5 ↑ (4.2)	3.93 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Närpes
56.1%

Draw
20.5%

Kuopion Elo
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

21.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

18.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Närpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Kuopion Elo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Närpes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuopion Elo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kuopion Elo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Närpes - Kuopion Elo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: ) and 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: )).

Närpes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kuopion Elo has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Närpes is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 3.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Närpes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 4.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
24.05.25	OsPa - Närpes	4:3 ✺
18.05.25	Närpes - VIFK	3:1 ✺
12.05.25	JBK - Närpes	4:1 ✺
03.05.25	Närpes - JS Hercules	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	GBK Kokkola - Närpes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLT
- Kuopion Elo
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
23.05.25	Kuopion Elo - GBK Kokkola	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	TP-47 - Kuopion Elo	3:3 ✺
11.05.25	Kuopion Elo - OsPa	2:4 ✺
04.05.25	Kuopion Elo - SJK Akatemia 2	3:6 ✺
27.04.25	VPS 2 - Kuopion Elo	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
22.09.24	Närpes - Kuopion Elo	5:3
06.07.24	Närpes - Kuopion Elo	5:2
15.06.24	Kuopion Elo - Närpes	4:1
10.09.23	Närpes - Kuopion Elo	4:0
17.06.23	Kuopion Elo - Närpes	1:1

Närpes - Kuopion Elo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide