Match Info

Kakkonen Group C

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Mosedal (Närpiö)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Närpes		Vaajakoski

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.00	2.60
	2.05	4.05	2.62
	2.16	4.34	2.59
	1.91	4.67	2.82	Watch
	2.08	4.25	2.55
	2.03	4.20	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.8)	4.25 ↓ (4.48)	2.65 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Närpes
44.4%

Draw
21.4%

Vaajakoski
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

20.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

20.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Närpes's form might have worsened.

Vaajakoski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vaajakoski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Närpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vaajakoski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Närpes - Vaajakoski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kaarre M. (G) 4. Abonde J. 20. Bergvik V. 17. Etoka L. 13. Ibric N. (C) 10. Kadic B. 3. Laine H. 23. Pimentel L. 6. Sifet B. 18. Westerholm A. 11. Wulff W.	99. Puttonen V. (G) 2. Collin M. 20. Laakso L. 19. Medjadji A. 5. Sainila E. 9. Salmi E. 3. Sarkkinen J. (C) 6. Tuppurainen A. 12. Tusa K. 31. Viren V. 14. Wacklin D.
Substitutes
21. Chidobe O. 31. Eriksson Z. (G) 19. Pomba L. 30. Skogman E. 24. Strand C.	10. Jarvinen V. 17. Kangasmetsa M. 22. Kareem M. 11. Nizo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Kadic B. ⚽,
13', (Penalty Awarded),
14', 1 - 1, Tuppurainen A. ⚽,
18', Sifet B. 🟨,
20', 2 - 1, Ibric N. ⚽,
23', 2 - 2, Sainila E. ⚽,
30', Sarkkinen J. 🟨,
37', Collin M. ↓, Jarvinen V. ↑,
45+1', Kadic B. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', Medjadji A. ↓, Nizo M. ↑,
77', Tuppurainen A. ↓, Kareem M. ↑,
77', Westerholm A. ↓, Skogman E. ↑,
77', Pimentel L. ↓, Pomba L. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Sainila E. ⚽,
89', Sifet B. ↓, Chidobe O. ↑,
90+2', Bergvik V. ↓, Strand C. ↑,
90+6', Laine H. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Närpes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Närpes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
15.07.26	GBK Kokkola - Närpes	6:2 ✺
12.07.26	Närpes - VPS 2	3:2 ✺
07.07.26	JBK - Närpes	4:2 ✺
04.07.26	Närpes - Jaro 2	8:0 ✺
14.06.26	Närpes - Huima Urho	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWL
- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
17.07.26	Vaajakoski - Huima Urho	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Vaajakoski - Jaro 2	5:2 ✺
04.07.26	JS Hercules - Vaajakoski	2:2 ✺
30.06.26	SJK Akatemia 2 - Vaajakoski	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Vaajakoski - TP-47	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
09.05.26	Vaajakoski - Närpes	4:5
12.08.23	Vaajakoski - Närpes	1:0
21.05.23	Närpes - Vaajakoski	0:3
18.09.22	Vaajakoski - Närpes	2:4
30.04.22	Närpes - Vaajakoski	2:1
15.08.21	Närpes - Vaajakoski	2:2
30.05.21	Vaajakoski - Närpes	2:1

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