Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Location: Tintshop Park (Naestved)

Referee: Gammelholm P. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Næstved BK		Horsens

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.25	3.25	2.85
	2.34	3.35	2.9	Watch
	2.38	3.45	3.01
	2.38	3.37	3.01
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.3	3.35	2.87	Watch
	2.22	3.35	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.09)	3.38 ↓ (3.46)	2.91 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næstved BK
40.6%

Draw
27.5%

Horsens
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

26.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næstved BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Næstved BK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Næstved BK - Horsens Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Næstved will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Horsens will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Næstved: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dannevang N. (G) 19. Henriksen L. 3. Souare B. 4. Bust L. 16. Hellman E. 8. Kongstedt M. 26. Girmai N. 20. Rygaard B. 9. Christensen F. 11. Ladefoged M. 90. Carlson M.	1. Delac M. (G) 17. Lassen M. 2. Stanisic O. 33. Ludwig A. 20. Reese S. 12. Ekeroth A. 27. Just E. 6. Opondo M. 14. Madsen J. 7. Ankersen J. 11. Becher S.
Substitutes
2. Banda P. 23. Bellman H. 6. Enemark C. 15. Friedrich C. 5. Host M. 14. Jorgensen M. 30. Kostow A. (G) 81. Molvadgaard M. 25. Osterholm A.	29. Beluli J. 30. Bobjerg M. (G) 8. Kouassi O. 18. Kristensen F. 19. Larsen M. 22. Nehme A. 34. Roslyng F. 28. Saine A. 23. Toftegaard H.
Coaches
Braune P.	Troelsen C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Becher S. ⚽, Lassen M. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Ankersen J. ⚽, Just E. (A),
32', Girmai N. 🟨,
33', Hellman E. 🟨,
44', Carlson M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ekeroth A. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
60', Rygaard B. ↓, Enemark C. ↑,
60', Hellman E. ↓, Host M. ↑,
76', Ankersen J. ↓, Nehme A. ↑,
76', Opondo M. ↓, Kristensen F. ↑,
78', Carlson M. ↓, Osterholm A. ↑,
83', Souare B. ↓, Molvadgaard M. ↑,
83', Becher S. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,
88', Just E. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
90', Beluli J. 🟨,

Preview

Næstved is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Horsens is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Næstved won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Næstved won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næstved BK
Danish 1 Division
07.04.24	Næstved BK - HB Køge	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Helsingør - Næstved BK	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Kolding IF - Næstved BK	3:3 ✺
09.03.24	Næstved BK - Fredericia	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Næstved BK - Horsens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTTT
- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
05.04.24	Horsens - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	HB Køge - Horsens	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Horsens	3:2 ✺
09.03.24	Horsens - SønderjyskE	1:4 ✺
03.03.24	Næstved BK - Horsens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
03.03.24	Næstved BK - Horsens	1:1
25.08.23	Horsens - Næstved BK	3:0
28.05.16	Næstved BK - Horsens	5:1
29.11.15	Horsens - Næstved BK	1:3

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