Match Info

National - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade des Antonins (Nîmes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Nîmes		Aubagne

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.75
	1.74	3.7	4.2
	1.77	3.88	4.57
	1.71	3.74	4.26	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.9
	1.7	3.78	4.36	Watch
	1.74	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	3.64 ↑ (3.38)	4.18 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
52.5%

Draw
25.4%

Aubagne
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Nîmes - Aubagne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nîmes (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 19. Sbai H. 5. Diouf W. 22. Mendy F. (C) 17. Labonne R. 6. Doukansy B. 18. Picouleau M. 14. Mexique J. 10. Marcel V. 7. Camara I. 9. Abdeldjelil O.	16. Lavallee L. (G) 12. M'Dahoma K. 24. Nehari M. (C) 19. Karamoko S. 23. Mouton E. 5. Rouai M. 4. Khetir C. 3. Khatir F. 10. Benhattab Y. 34. El Kaddouri B. 9. Nsimba S.
Substitutes
31. Akkal S. 34. El Hamri S. 8. Laurens G. 35. Lemaangr A. 27. Malouda A.	25. Berrabha D. 8. Bouteba M. R. 18. Carbonero T. 15. Djaballah M. L. 30. Gil J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Picouleau M. ↓, Akkal S. ↑,
39', M'Dahoma K. 🟨,
43', Khetir C. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Karamoko S. ⚽, El Kaddouri B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', 0 - 2, Nsimba S. ⚽, Rouai M. (A),
47', 1 - 2, Abdeldjelil O. ⚽, Doukansy B. (A),
50', Labonne R. 🟨,
53', 1 - 3, Nsimba S. ⚽, Mouton E. (A),
55', Sbai H. ↓, Laurens G. ↑,
56', Camara I. ↓, Malouda A. ↑,
62', Malouda A. 🟨,
75', Doukansy B. ↓, Lemaangr A. ↑,
76', El Kaddouri B. ↓, Berrabha D. ↑,
76', Nsimba S. ↓, Djaballah M. L. ↑,
78', Marcel V. ↓, El Hamri S. ↑,
79', Akkal S. 🟨,
80', Karamoko S. 🟨,
81', 2 - 3, Abdeldjelil O. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90', 2 - 4, Djaballah M. L. ⚽, Khatir F. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Nîmes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aubagne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Nîmes is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Nîmes: Amara A. (Inactive) Bouaoune I. (Inactive) Iafrate J. (Inactive) Malouda A. (Inactive) Paviot D. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nîmes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 3
02.05.25	Nancy - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Nîmes - Paris 13 Atletico	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Le Mans - Nîmes	4:0 ✺
04.04.25	Quevilly - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Nîmes - Bourg-Péronnas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLWL
- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
02.05.25	Aubagne - Orleans	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Aubagne - Châteauroux	6:2 ✺
18.04.25	Nancy - Aubagne	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Aubagne - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Le Mans - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
18.01.25	Aubagne - Nîmes	2:0
Coupe De France
27.11.21	Aubagne - Nîmes	2:3 penalties

Nîmes - Aubagne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide