Match Info

National - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Nancy		Aubagne

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.49	4	6.2
	1.51	3.98	6.82
	1.48	3.9	6.37	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.45	4.05	6.86	Watch
	1.49	4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)	3.95 ↓ (4.22)	6.39 ↓ (6.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
62.3%

Draw
23.3%

Aubagne
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

22%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

21.4%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-1%)

Nancy - Aubagne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sourzac M. (G) 20. Bokangu B. 8. Bouabdelli W. 6. Bouriaud T. 13. Camara B. 17. Carlier M. 26. Cisse S. I. 19. Experience M. 12. Julloux A. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 11. Sidibe O.	16. Lavallee L. (G) 10. Benhattab Y. 34. El Kaddouri B. 19. Karamoko S. 3. Khatir F. 4. Khetir C. 23. Mouton E. 24. Nehari M. 9. Nsimba S. 5. Rouai M. 6. Tafni A.
Substitutes
18. Ebonog S. 22. Evans J. 21. Pellegrini L. 3. Tayot G. 9. Toure C.	25. Berrabha D. 8. Bouteba M. R. 18. Carbonero T. 33. Fardi E. O. 30. Gil J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Mouton E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Khatir F. 🟨,
54', Tafni A. 🟨,
62', Cisse S. I. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Saint-Ruf N. ⚽, Bouriaud T. (A),
67', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
68', Sidibe O. ↓, Toure C. ↑,
75', Experience M. 🟨,
75', Bouriaud T. ↓, Tayot G. ↑,
77', Karamoko S. 🟨,
79', El Kaddouri B. ↓, Berrabha D. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Bokangu B. ⚽,
87', Mouton E. ↓, Carbonero T. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Nancy is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aubagne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nancy is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nancy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 3
11.04.25	Nancy - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Nancy	2:2 ✺
28.03.25	Nancy - Le Mans	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Nancy - Quevilly	4:1 ✺
07.03.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Nancy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWWL
- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
11.04.25	Aubagne - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Le Mans - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Quevilly - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Boulogne - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
14.01.25	Aubagne - Nancy	2:1
06.12.24	Aubagne - Nancy	4:0

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