Match Info

National - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Le Mans		Aubagne

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.75	6.25
	1.59	3.65	5.6
	1.58	3.66	5.49	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.57	3.72	5.67	Watch
	1.59	3.65	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	5.69 ↑ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
58.8%

Draw
25.1%

Aubagne
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.5%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Le Mans have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Le Mans - Aubagne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 33. Bernardeau G. 3. Burlet V. 21. Eyoum T. 8. Lauray A. 34. Matumona J. 6. Quarshie E. 9. Rabillard A. 5. Voyer H. 15. Vula A. 17. Yohou S.	16. Lavallee L. (G) 34. El Kaddouri B. 19. Karamoko S. 3. Khatir F. 4. Khetir C. 12. M'Dahoma K. 23. Mouton E. 24. Nehari M. 9. Nsimba S. 5. Rouai M. 6. Tafni A.
Substitutes
25. Gueye D. 26. Oggad B. 24. Ouchen A. 29. Oudjani A. 27. Rossignol M.	25. Berrabha D. 8. Bouteba M. R. 33. Fardi E. O. 30. Gil J. (G) 27. Tohouli C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, El Kaddouri B. ⚽,
15', Burlet V. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Vula A. ⚽, Lauray A. (A),
35', Tafni A. ↓, Bouteba M. R. ↑,
39', Rouai M. 🟨,
44', Nsimba S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lauray A. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
53', M'Dahoma K. 🟨,
61', Rabillard A. 🟨,
62', Bernardeau G. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
69', Matumona J. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
83', Bouteba M. R. ↓, Berrabha D. ↑,
83', Quarshie E. ↓, Ouchen A. ↑,
83', Rabillard A. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 8).

Le Mans is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aubagne is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aubagne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Le Mans is a favorite.

There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E. (Back Injury) Diliwidi K. (Inactive) Nonnenmacher M. (Inactive) Oggad B. (Inactive) Ouchen A. (Inactive) Tronchet N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Aubagne: Ndiaye O. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Le Mans to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
28.03.25	Nancy - Le Mans	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Le Mans - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Le Mans - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Le Mans - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW
- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
22.03.25	Quevilly - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Boulogne - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Aubagne - Dijon	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Sochaux - Aubagne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
08.11.24	Aubagne - Le Mans	1:0

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