Match Info

National - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Le Mans		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.68	3.5	5
	1.69	3.71	5.87
	1.62	3.54	5.32	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.75
	1.68	3.43	5.46	Watch
	1.68	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)	3.45 ↓ (3.49)	5.13 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
55%

Draw
26.9%

Nîmes
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Le Mans - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Le Mans will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 12. Ribelin A. 21. Eyoum T. 17. Yohou S. 5. Voyer H. 34. Matumona J. 27. Rossignol M. 33. Bernardeau G. 6. Quarshie E. 15. Vula A. 25. Gueye D.	40. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 19. Sbai H. 22. Mendy F. 36. Iafrate J. 17. Labonne R. 6. Doukansy B. 18. Picouleau M. 26. Amara A. 10. Marcel V. 34. El Hamri S. 9. Abdeldjelil O.
Substitutes
18. Lamgahez Z. 8. Lauray A. 26. Oggad B. 29. Oudjani A. 9. Rabillard A.	7. Camara I. 39. Klitim Y. 35. Larcier T. 27. Malouda A. 14. Mexique J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Vula A. ⚽, Bernardeau G. (A),
15', Picouleau M. 🟨,
26', Vula A. 🟨,
34', Rossignol M. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Gueye D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', El Hamri S. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
46', Iafrate J. ↓, Klitim Y. ↑,
46', Amara A. ↓, Malouda A. ↑,
49', Mendy F. 🟨,
57', Bernardeau G. 🟨,
59', 3 - 0, Vula A. ⚽, Ribelin A. (A),
63', Labonne R. 🟨,
65', 4 - 0, Yohou S. ⚽, Lauray A. (A),
67', Labonne R. ↓, Larcier T. ↑,
68', Vula A. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
68', Bernardeau G. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
69', Doukansy B. ↓, Mexique J. ↑,
80', Matumona J. ↓, Lamgahez Z. ↑,
80', Ribelin A. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Le Mans is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nîmes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Mans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Le Mans is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Le Mans won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
11.04.25	Orleans - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Le Mans - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Nancy - Le Mans	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Le Mans - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Le Mans - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWW
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 3
04.04.25	Quevilly - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Nîmes - Bourg-Péronnas	1:3 ✺
21.03.25	Boulogne - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Nîmes - Dijon	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Sochaux - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
06.12.24	Nîmes - Le Mans	0:0
02.02.24	Le Mans - Nîmes	0:0
25.08.23	Nîmes - Le Mans	1:1
French Ligue 2
15.03.13	Le Mans - Nîmes	0:3
19.10.12	Nîmes - Le Mans	2:1

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