Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nürnberg		Hansa Rostock

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.6
	1.95	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.9	4	4.09
	1.99	3.66	3.96
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.96	3.74	3.65	Watch
	1.97	3.6	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.84)	3.69 ↓ (3.86)	3.74 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
48.9%

Draw
25.7%

Hansa Rostock
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Hansa Rostock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	15%	20%

Nürnberg - Hansa Rostock Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Hansa Rostock will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klaus C. (G) 22. Valentini E. (C) 15. Marquez I. 38. Horn J. 27. Brown N. 17. Castrop J. 6. Flick F. 42. Uzun C. Y. 14. Goller B. 20. Andersson S. 11. Okunuki K.	23. Korber N. (G) 7. Neidhart N. 22. van der Werff J. 4. Rossbach D. (C) 21. Rossipal A. 26. Bachmann J. 8. Rhein S. 28. Singh S. 27. Kinsombi C. 9. Proger K. 14. Ingelsson S.
Substitutes
8. Duman T. 5. Geis J. 3. Gurleyen A. 9. Hayashi D. 43. Hofmann J. 44. Jeltsch F. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 36. Schleimer L. 13. Wekesser E.	6. Dressel D. 10. Froling N. 11. Guler S. 30. Hagemoser M. (G) 5. Husing O. 34. Lang J. 18. Perea J. 29. Ruschke F. 13. Schumacher K.
Coaches
Fiel C.	Selimbegovic M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Hansa Rostock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nürnberg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
Club Friendly
10.01.24	Nürnberg - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Elversberg - Nürnberg	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.12.23	Kaiserslautern - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
02.12.23	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL
- Hansa Rostock
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
10.01.24	LASK Linz - Hansa Rostock	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.12.23	Paderborn - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
10.12.23	Hansa Rostock - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Nürnberg - Hansa Rostock	3:2 ET
German 2 Bundesliga
30.07.23	Hansa Rostock - Nürnberg	2:0
21.05.23	Nürnberg - Hansa Rostock	0:0
09.11.22	Hansa Rostock - Nürnberg	1:1
26.02.22	Hansa Rostock - Nürnberg	0:2
17.09.21	Nürnberg - Hansa Rostock	1:0
German DFB Pokal
31.10.18	Hansa Rostock - Nürnberg	2:3 penalties

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