Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Paderborn		Hansa Rostock

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.57	4.2	5	Watch
	1.63	4.4	5.41
	1.63	4.28	5.41
	1.57	4	4.75	Watch
	1.59	4.2	5.15	Watch
	1.63	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	4.2 ↑ (3.98)	5.12 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
59%

Draw
22.5%

Hansa Rostock
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.4%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

22.8%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Paderborn - Hansa Rostock Predictions

Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boevink P. (G) 17. Curda L. 8. Kinsombi D. (C) 16. Musliu V. 23. Obermair R. 26. Klaas S. 27. Klefisch K. 33. Hoffmeier M. 39. Grimaldi A. 30. Muslija F. 29. Ansah I.	1. Kolke M. (C) 8. Rhein S. 5. Husing O. 4. Rossbach D. 29. Ruschke F. 14. Ingelsson S. 19. Vasiliadis S. 6. Dressel D. 27. Kinsombi C. 9. Proger K. 18. Perea J.
Substitutes
4. Brackelmann C. 11. Conteh S. 28. Flotho M. 22. Hansen M. 13. Leipertz R. 15. Muller T. 36. Platte F. 35. Schulz A. (G) 6. Schuster M.	10. Froling N. 11. Guler S. 16. Hinterseer L. 23. Korber N. (G) 35. Kruger J. 34. Lang J. 33. Nkoa A. 20. Scherff L. 13. Schumacher K.
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Spiedel U.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hansa Rostock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paderborn is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
09.12.23	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
06.12.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Paderborn	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
03.12.23	Paderborn - Hannover	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Elversberg - Paderborn	4:1 ✺
11.11.23	Paderborn - Nürnberg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWLL
- Hansa Rostock
German 2 Bundesliga
10.12.23	Hansa Rostock - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Karlsruher - Hansa Rostock	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Hansa Rostock - St. Pauli	2:3 ✺
12.11.23	Magdeburg - Hansa Rostock	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Hansa Rostock - Hertha Berlin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
15.04.23	Paderborn - Hansa Rostock	3:0
08.10.22	Hansa Rostock - Paderborn	0:3
30.04.22	Hansa Rostock - Paderborn	0:0
28.11.21	Paderborn - Hansa Rostock	1:1
German 3 Bundesliga
10.03.18	Hansa Rostock - Paderborn	2:3
22.09.17	Paderborn - Hansa Rostock	2:1
25.03.17	Hansa Rostock - Paderborn	1:1

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