The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nürnberg 21.8%
Draw 25.2%
Köln 53%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
23.4%
56.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
21.8%
60.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nürnberg - Köln Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Romero L. (G) 18. Mai F. 4. Guttenberger L. (C) 7. Varley L. 22. Pollak J. 19. Homann S. 28. Seguin M. 26. Polaskova A. 11. Meroni L. 15. Papai E. 24. Lein N.
34. Fuchs I. (G) 14. Imping C. 15. Bohnen A. 33. Hegering M. (C) 21. Gerhardt A. 8. Vogt L. 11. Bremer P. 9. Achcinska A. 27. Feiersinger L. 25. Donhauser L. 6. Jessen S.
Substitutes
29. Deuber H. 16. Grzywinska Z. 8. Gunster M. 14. Lindner M. 9. Miller L. 30. Paschedag E. (G) 2. Svensson K. 31. Tolzel S. (G) 23. Turi B.
17. Andrade L. 5. Degen C. 30. Elsen C. 16. Hasenauer Z. 29. Leimenstoll V. 1. Schmitz L. (G) 7. Stolze A.
Coaches
Oostendorp T.
Carlson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Donhauser L. ⚽, Jessen S. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Jessen S. ⚽, Gerhardt A. (A),
34', Imping C. 🟨,
41', Varley L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Varley L. ↓, Lindner M. ↑,
76', Vogt L. ↓, Stolze A. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Lein N. ⚽,
81', Seguin M. 🟨,
85', Seguin M. ↓, Gunster M. ↑,
87', Bremer P. ↓, Elsen C. ↑,
90+6', Imping C. ↓, Degen C. ↑,
90+7', Gunster M. 🟨,
90+8', Achcinska A. 🟨,
90+12', Homann S. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 8).
Nürnberg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Köln is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Nürnberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Köln is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).
Including home match between the teams, Nürnberg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.