Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 2

Date: 18 August 2023, Friday

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)

Referee: Smit N. (Ned)


	NAC Breda		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.81	3.65	4.1
	1.81	3.85	4.44
	1.73	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.8	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)	3.67 ↓ (3.75)	4.13 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
52.1%

Draw
25.4%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.4%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Wernersson V. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 4. Kemper B. 8. Leemans C. 16. Vet J. 39. Janosek D. 11. Sejdiu P. 19. Boere T. 7. Garbett M.	1. Deen D. (G) 2. Stam F. 3. Berkhout J. (C) 4. Dekker M. 5. Engel M. 6. Kalisvaart J. 10. Griffith I. 8. Kwakman D. 7. Addai J. 9. Kewal R. 11. Daal R.
Substitutes
18. Agougil S. 23. Besselink R. 28. de Wijs S. 14. Kaied A. 17. Kuijpers R. 2. Lucassen B. 27. Marijnissen T. 24. Mol L. 49. Troost T. (G) 9. van der Sande J.	22. Buurmeester J. 14. Esajas J. 30. Gerold J. 20. Kerssens T. 19. Koster N. 16. Kuijsten T. (G) 43. Olofsson W. 18. Reverson D. 12. van Aken J. 21. van den Ban Y.
Coaches
Hyballa P.	Sierksma J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Breda have a series of home games.

In this match Breda is a favorite.

There are questionable in Breda: Omarsson E. (Knee Injury) Omgba A. (Knee Injury) Staring C. (Knee Injury) van Schuppen B. (Knee Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Breda won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.08.23	Dordrecht - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.23	NAC Breda - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	NAC Breda - OFI	3:2 ✺
22.07.23	NAC Breda - Excelsior	2:0 ✺
19.07.23	NAC Breda - Waalwijk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTWWL
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.08.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.23	Brugge U23 - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	FC Oss - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
26.07.23	Koninklijke HFC - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Amsterdamsche FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.01.23	NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	5:1
07.10.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda	4:0
21.02.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda	0:2
15.10.21	NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0
08.03.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda	2:3
29.08.20	NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	6:1
17.01.20	NAC Breda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:1

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