The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong PSV 19.6%
Draw 20.4%
NAC Breda 60%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.3%
21.1%
59.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.9%
20.7%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Jong PSV - NAC Breda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 6th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 0.
Jong PSV has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Breda shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Jong PSV may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Breda carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Jong PSV has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:29 (averaging 0.8:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jong PSV against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:14 goals (averaging 0.7:2 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
NAC Breda
12
6
3
3
23:20
3
21
12
Jong PSV
12
4
4
4
17:19
-2
16
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
NAC Breda: 15.65% Jong PSV: 0.39%
Last Results with these Odds
Jong PSV - the odds 4.77 are the expected chance of winning is 19.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.