Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 17

Date: 4 December 2023, Monday


	Jong PSV		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.2	1.75	Watch
	4	3.8	1.71
	4.2	4	1.75	Watch
	4.4	4.07	1.77
	4.4	4.07	1.78
	4	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.05	4	1.77	Watch
	4	3.9	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.99)	3.98 ↓ (3.98)	1.75 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong PSV
22.5%

Draw
23.6%

NAC Breda
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

23.2%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Jong PSV - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: NAC Breda will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Peersman K. (G) 2. El Meliani R. 3. van de Blaak E. 4. Dams M. 5. Oppegard F. 10. Babadi I. 8. Jimenez M. 6. Land T. 7. van Duiven J. 9. Pepi R. 11. Nassoh M. (C)	1. Kortsmit R. (G) 3. Koscelnik M. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 4. Kemper B. 7. Garbett M. 6. Staring C. 17. Kuijpers R. 22. Omgba A. 39. Janosek D. 9. Haugen S.
Substitutes
21. Bars E. 22. Dagasan M. 14. Gil y Muinos Y. 18. Gonzaga J. 17. Houben I. 15. Jansen K. 16. Schiks N. (G) 20. Simons J. 23. Smolenaars T. (G) 19. Uneken J.	18. Agougil S. 23. Besselink R. 19. Boere T. 2. Lucassen B. 27. Marijnissen T. 49. Troost T. (G) 16. Vet J. 31. Wernersson V.
Coaches
Boessen W.	van Gastel J.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Breda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Jong PSV have a series of guest games.

In this match Breda is a favorite.

There are questionable in Jong PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Omarsson E. (Knee Injury) van Schuppen B. (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Jong PSV won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.12.23	Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV	0:0 ✺
27.11.23	Emmen - Jong PSV	1:0 ✺
24.11.23	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
15.11.23	Blackburn Rovers U21 - Jong PSV	3:5 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.11.23	Dordrecht - Jong PSV	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLLWW
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.11.23	NAC Breda - Den Bosch	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	1:4 ✺
10.11.23	NAC Breda - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	De Graafschap - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.23	Quick Boys - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.03.23	Jong PSV - NAC Breda	1:2
06.01.23	NAC Breda - Jong PSV	2:1
25.02.22	NAC Breda - Jong PSV	3:1
22.11.21	Jong PSV - NAC Breda	0:0
18.01.21	Jong PSV - NAC Breda	1:1
26.09.20	NAC Breda - Jong PSV	2:1
25.11.19	Jong PSV - NAC Breda	1:3

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