Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: MTN Omondi Stadium (Bugoloobi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	NEC FC		Kitara

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.92	3.4
	2.13	2.86	3.48
	2.16	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.4
	2.16	2.95	3.59
	2.1	2.83	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.11)	2.86 ↓ (2.94)	3.45 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

NEC FC
42.3%

Draw
31.5%

Kitara
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

32.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Kitara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

NEC FC - Kitara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Seremba J. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Dhata J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 2 - 1, Ssenkaaba G. ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, Wahab G. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, Kulanga E. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 3, Ssenkaaba G. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

NEC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kitara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

NEC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NEC won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, NEC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	NEC FC	4	3	1	0	9:2	7	10
9	Kitara	3	1	2	0	3:2	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
07.01.26	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	1:0 ✺
16.12.25	UPDF - NEC FC	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kampala City Council - NEC FC	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	NEC FC - Vipers	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Maroons - NEC FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLTT
- Kitara FC
Ugandan Super League
07.01.26	Kitara - UPDF	2:1 ✺
18.12.25	Entebbe UPPC - Kitara	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kitara - Maroons	2:0 ✺
04.12.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Kitara	0:1 ✺
27.11.25	Police - Kitara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
10.04.25	NEC FC - Kitara	2:1
19.09.24	Kitara - NEC FC	1:2
Ugandan Cup
25.05.24	NEC FC - Kitara	0:1
Ugandan Super League
04.04.24	NEC FC - Kitara	1:0
02.12.23	Kitara - NEC FC	1:0

Upcoming Matches