Match Info
Premier League - Round 21Date: 14 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium (Kampala)
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Maroons |
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UPDF |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.95 |
2.88 |
4.05 |
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 |
1.89 |
2.88 |
4.37 |
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1.95 |
2.85 |
4.34 |
 Watch |
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1.91 |
2.9 |
3.75 |
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1.83 |
2.86 |
4.87 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.75) |
2.87 ↓
(3.4) |
4.28 ↓
(4.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maroons
47.4% | Draw
31.4% | UPDF
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maroons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+3%)Maroons - UPDF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 3.Maroons has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).UPDF is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Maroons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Maroons is seen as the favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Maroons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 6 |
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| 10 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 15.10.25 | UPDF - Maroons | 1:2 | | 16.04.25 | UPDF - Maroons | 2:1 | | 15.09.24 | Maroons - UPDF | 1:1 | | 05.01.24 | Maroons - UPDF | 4:2 | | 25.04.23 | Maroons - UPDF | 1:0 | | 22.11.22 | UPDF - Maroons | 0:0 | | 30.03.18 | UPDF - Maroons | 0:0 |
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