Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	NJS		PeKa

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.9	3.2
	1.73	4.1	3.3
	1.82	3.95	3.05
	1.85	4.63	3.43
	1.82	4	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.7)	4.12 ↓ (4.48)	3.26 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NJS
50.1%

Draw
22.1%

PeKa
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

21%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

21.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NJS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NJS's form might have worsened.

PeKa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NJS than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NJS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PeKa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PeKa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

NJS - PeKa Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. NJS will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). PeKa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

NJS is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches PeKa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

NJS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently PeKa have a series of home games.

In this match NJS is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches NJS won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams NJS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nurmijärven Jalkapalloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
19.08.22	PPJ - NJS	3:0 ✺
14.08.22	KuPS Akatemia - NJS	1:1 ✺
06.08.22	NJS - Keski-Uusimaa	3:3 ✺
30.07.22	Lahden Reipas - NJS	3:2 ✺
23.07.22	NJS - Kiffen 08	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTLT
- PeKa
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
20.08.22	PeKa - Keski-Uusimaa	3:3 ✺
06.08.22	PeKa - Kiffen 08	0:4 ✺
30.07.22	LaPa - PeKa	2:4 ✺
23.07.22	PeKa - Futura Porvoo	1:2 ✺
09.07.22	PeKa - Atlantis Helsinki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
12.06.22	PeKa - NJS	1:2
23.10.21	PeKa - NJS	3:0
04.07.21	NJS - PeKa	2:2

NJS - PeKa