Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group A

Date: 27 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Lahden kisapuisto (Lahti)


	Lahden Reipas		NJS

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.25
	1.47	4.55	5.55
	1.48	4.43	5.38
	1.48	4.44	5.38
	1.4	4.2	5.5
	1.47	4.5	5.66
	1.47	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)	4.37 ↓ (4.8)	5.42 ↓ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahden Reipas
62.4%

Draw
20.8%

NJS
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

18.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahden Reipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lahden Reipas's form might have worsened.

NJS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lahden Reipas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NJS than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lahden Reipas - NJS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Inkeroinen L. (G) 24. Ala-Kauhaluoma L. 25. Belabid A. 20. Hertsi L. 5. Jarvenpaa L. 15. Klinga M. 7. Kose B. 3. Ndabawedje C. 12. Ndabawedje J. 22. Nieminen E. 21. Niskanen R.	1. Knuuttila O. (G) 33. Backstrom D. 75. Gronthal T. 26. Kallio A. 19. Kangasniemi V. 28. Ketonen V. 17. Lehtojuuri A. 4. Pursiainen O. 23. Rekola B. 32. Salmi J. 18. Salminen V.
Substitutes
26. Hakkinen N. 17. Kettunen T. 18. Kurki V. 14. Paalanen A. 13. Ratto V. (G) 9. Shala D. 11. Traore B.	3. Kurvinen M. 27. Lahikainen K. 30. Lindfors D. (G) 8. Lundgren K. 7. Ozel M. 35. Pastinen L. 20. Timsina B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Lehtojuuri A. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Belabid A. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Belabid A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Salmi J. ↓, Pastinen L. ↑,
46', Gronthal T. ↓, Lahikainen K. ↑,
46', Kallio A. ↓, Kurvinen M. ↑,
56', 2 - 2, Lehtojuuri A. ⚽,
63', Ala-Kauhaluoma L. ↓, Kettunen T. ↑,
63', Ndabawedje J. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
63', Traore B. 🟨,
69', Belabid A. ↓, Paalanen A. ↑,
76', Ketonen V. 🟨,
80', Salminen V. ↓, Timsina B. ↑,
83', Nieminen E. 🟨,
85', Rekola B. ↓, Lundgren K. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Hertsi L. ⚽,
90+1', Nieminen E. ↓, Kurki V. ↑,
90+6', Lahikainen K. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reipas won 4.

Reipas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches NJS is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Reipas is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Reipas to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Reipas won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Reipas won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
19.06.24	Kiffen 08 - Lahden Reipas	3:0 ✺
07.06.24	PPJ - Lahden Reipas	0:1 ✺
03.06.24	Lahden Reipas - JaPS 2	5:0 ✺
30.05.24	Lahden Reipas - Atlantis 2	2:0 ✺
25.05.24	Futura Porvoo - Lahden Reipas	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- Nurmijärven Jalkapalloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
13.06.24	NJS - PPJ	0:0 ✺
07.06.24	Atlantis 2 - NJS	1:3 ✺
31.05.24	NJS - Futura Porvoo	0:1 ✺
24.05.24	Kiffen 08 - NJS	1:2 ✺
17.05.24	NJS - JaPS 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
20.04.24	NJS - Lahden Reipas	0:2
02.09.23	NJS - Lahden Reipas	1:1
10.06.23	Lahden Reipas - NJS	2:0
30.07.22	Lahden Reipas - NJS	3:2
14.05.22	NJS - Lahden Reipas	0:2
28.08.21	Lahden Reipas - NJS	2:0
13.06.21	NJS - Lahden Reipas	2:1

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