Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 14

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Nação		Fluminense-SC

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.90	2.60
	2.62	2.98	2.52
	2.63	3.05	2.48
	2.68	3.08	2.53	Watch
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.64	2.98	2.51
	2.12	2.88	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.18)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)	2.57 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nação
35.1%

Draw
30%

Fluminense-SC
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nação has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nação's form might have worsened.

Fluminense-SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fluminense-SC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nação than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense-SC than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nação - Fluminense SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 1 - 0, ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 7)

In recent matches, Nação has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fluminense-SC has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nação may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nação is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nação won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nação won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Nacao	18	5	6	7	19:26	-7	21
8	Fluminense-SC	18	6	3	9	16:25	-9	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nação Esportes Canoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
05.07.26	Atlético Tubarão - Nação	1:0 ✺
01.07.26	Nação - Metropolitano	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Guarani de Palhoça - Nação	0:0 ✺
17.06.26	Nação - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Hercílio Luz - Nação	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTWL
- Fluminense-SC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
04.07.26	Fluminense-SC - Blumenau	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Hercílio Luz - Fluminense-SC	4:2 ✺
14.06.26	Caravaggio - Fluminense-SC	1:0 ✺
10.06.26	Fluminense-SC - Metropolitano	1:3 ✺
31.05.26	Atlético Tubarão - Fluminense-SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
16.05.26	Fluminense-SC - Nação	1:1
22.06.25	Nação - Fluminense-SC	0:0

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