Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Nacional		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4	Watch
	1.77	3.4	3.9
	1.75	3.6	3.95
	1.81	3.55	3.9
	1.88	3.71	4.23
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.8	3.68	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.67)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	4 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
51.1%

Draw
26%

Académica Coimbra
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Académica Coimbra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nacional - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0.

Recent matches Nacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Académica has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nacional is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Nacional won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
13.03.22	Mafra - Nacional	3:2 ✺
05.03.22	Nacional - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Nacional - Trofense	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Casa Pia - Nacional	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Nacional - Penafiel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTTLW
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
11.03.22	Académica Coimbra - Benfica B	3:4 ✺
06.03.22	Porto B - Académica Coimbra	3:3 ✺
28.02.22	Académica Coimbra - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Vilafranquense - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Académica Coimbra - Feirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.11.21	Académica Coimbra - Nacional	1:2
23.02.20	Nacional - Académica Coimbra	1:0
15.09.19	Académica Coimbra - Nacional	1:2
07.04.18	Nacional - Académica Coimbra	1:0
Taça de Portugal
19.11.17	Académica Coimbra - Nacional	1:0
Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.17	Académica Coimbra - Nacional	1:0
Liga Portugal
07.02.16	Académica Coimbra - Nacional	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Liga Portugal
01.11.26	Arouca - Nacional	✺
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
01.11.26	Vizela - Académica Coimbra	✺

Nacional - Académica Coimbra