Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Nacional		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.1	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.27	3.51	3.24
	2.15	3.3	2.9
	2.17	3.54	2.98	Watch
	2.13	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.3)	3.44 ↑ (3.36)	3.03 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
42.7%

Draw
26.9%

Oliveirense
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Nacional - Oliveirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 40. Ulisses 4. Paulo Vitor 55. Sousa A. 10. Esteves L. 8. Danilovic V. 77. Gustavo 28. Carlos Daniel 11. Witi 9. Ramirez J.	99. Augusto A. (G) 25. Casimiro 19. John K. 42. Guilherme 88. Kazu 34. Ze Leite 5. Filipe Alves (C) 27. Ibrahima 10. Duarte D. 33. Schutte A. 9. Carter A.
Substitutes
99. Dudu 5. Jose Gomes 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 3. Pola J. 27. Raimar 18. Sousa A. 12. Vinicius Machado (G)	18. Gadelho V. 4. Iago Reis 50. Kohtaro N. 37. Lamine M. 12. Macedo N. (G) 11. Miura K. 7. Paulo J. 56. Schurrle 22. Ze Pedro
Coaches
Margarido T.	Pereira F.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2.

Nacional is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Oliveirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nacional have a series of guest games.

Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
02.10.23	Penafiel - Nacional	1:4 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
28.09.23	Casa Pia - Nacional	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.09.23	Portosantense - Nacional	2:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.23	Nacional - Feirense	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Vilaverdense - Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWWW
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
30.09.23	Oliveirense - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	SB Castelo Branco - Oliveirense	1:2 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.23	Oliveirense - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:1 ✺
27.08.23	Oliveirense - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.04.23	Nacional - Oliveirense	0:3
23.10.22	Oliveirense - Nacional	0:0
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Nacional - Oliveirense	3:1 ET
Portuguese Liga 2
12.01.20	Nacional - Oliveirense	0:0
01.03.18	Nacional - Oliveirense	2:1
19.08.17	Oliveirense - Nacional	0:2

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