Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 5

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Nacional		Feirense

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.31	3.67	3.05
	2.1	3.25	2.9
	2.22	3.48	2.96	Watch
	2.2	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.31)	3.43 ↑ (3.18)	2.94 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional
41.7%

Draw
26.9%

Feirense
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

27.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Nacional - Feirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Feirense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 40. Ulisses 4. Paulo Vitor 55. Sousa A. 8. Danilovic V. 77. Gustavo 11. Witi 10. Esteves L. 28. Carlos Daniel 9. Ramirez J.	99. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 35. Sergio Conceicao 76. Almeida F. 4. Shimaga A. 7. Bras D. 71. Camara M. 20. Pereira J. 17. Lucas SIlva 70. Castro J. 77. Dudu Hatamoto 9. Paredes J. (C)
Substitutes
99. Dudu 23. Guilherme Pira 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 3. Pola J. 18. Sousa A. 12. Vinicius Machado (G) 30. Watts	88. Alves R. 11. Banjaqui Z. 24. Costa J. (G) 21. Grave M. 72. Guilherme O. 27. Jocu H. 3. Moreira C. 10. Oche O. 37. Picas
Coaches
Margarido T.	Sousa R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1.

Recent matches Nacional is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Feirense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
03.09.23	Vilaverdense - Nacional	1:2 ✺
28.08.23	Nacional - Leixões	3:1 ✺
21.08.23	Torreense - Nacional	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Nacional - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
30.07.23	Leiria - Nacional	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLLW
- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
02.09.23	Feirense - Santa Clara	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Académico de Viseu - Feirense	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Feirense - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Oliveirense - Feirense	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.23	Chaves - Feirense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.04.23	Nacional - Feirense	0:0
06.11.22	Feirense - Nacional	1:1
15.05.22	Feirense - Nacional	4:1
10.01.22	Nacional - Feirense	2:1
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Feirense - Nacional	3:1 ET
Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.19	Feirense - Nacional	1:1
Liga Portugal
16.02.19	Nacional - Feirense	4:0

Upcoming Matches