Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday


	Nacional AM		Águia de Marabá

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	8.25
	1.98	2.62	3.67
	1.97	3.24	3.7
	1.95	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.13)	3.37 ↓ (5.5)	4.84 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional AM
52.4%

Draw
28.1%

Águia de Marabá
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

15.5%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional AM's performance.

Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águia de Marabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional AM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águia de Marabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nacional AM - Águia de Marabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nacional AM will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Águia de Marabá will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Nacional AM in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Águia de Marabá is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Nacional AM is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nacional AM to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nacional AM won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional AM
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM	0:3 ✺
11.06.23	Nacional AM - São Francisco Rio Branco	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Águia de Marabá - Nacional AM	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Nacional AM - São Raimundo PR	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Trem - Nacional AM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWW
- Águia de Marabá
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Águia de Marabá - Trem	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Trem - Águia de Marabá	0:1 ✺
07.06.23	Águia de Marabá - Nacional AM	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	0:0 ✺
29.05.23	Águia de Marabá - São Francisco Rio Branco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.06.23	Águia de Marabá - Nacional AM	1:1
Copa do Brasil
10.04.13	Águia de Marabá - Nacional AM	1:2

Nacional AM - Águia de Marabá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide