Match Info

Amazonense - Play Offs - Final

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)


	Nacional AM		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	3	2.55	2.5
	3.5	2.92	2.08
	3.19	2.97	2.26	Watch
	2.98	2.91	2.38
	2.45	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.42)	2.86 ↓ (3)	2.41 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional AM
30.2%

Draw
31.9%

Amazonas
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional AM's form might have worsened.

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amazonas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional AM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amazonas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nacional AM - Amazonas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caio (G) 13. Custodio M. 19. Hernane Brocador 2. Joao Barbieri 25. Mercado K. 17. Miliano 9. Rafa Marcos 11. Renanzinho 5. Rodrigo 16. Thiago Lopes 6. Wendel	33. Renan (G) 8. Erick Varao 27. Fabinho 5. Jorge Jimenez 2. Leo Coelho 7. Marcelo Cirino 23. Nunez P. 25. Rafael Furlan 10. Rafael Tavares 17. Rafael Vitor 15. Raylison
Substitutes
14. Adenilson 18. Anderson Alagoano 30. Anderson Salles 15. Caio Callyman 21. Douglas 12. Igor Rayan (G) 10. Kaio Wilker 31. Marcao 26. Mardley 22. Rhuan Lucas 20. Ryan Luka 7. Vitinho	22. Alison Matheus 13. Bernardo Paias 14. Castro P. 6. Fabiano 26. Gabriel Domingos 21. Graffin A. 28. Italo Silva 4. Iury 20. Jhonny Lucas 1. Joao Lopes (G) 16. Leo Guerra 3. Marcondes 9. Ronaldo 18. Schiappacasse N. 19. William Barbio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
58', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟥,
90+20', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional AM won 2.

Nacional AM is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Amazonas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Amazonas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nacional AM won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional AM won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional AM
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
14.03.26	Nacional AM - Parintins	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Manauara - Nacional AM	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Nacional AM - Amazonas	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Princesa do Solimões - Nacional AM	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Nacional AM	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWTL
- Amazonas FC
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
05.03.26	Nacional AM - Amazonas	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Parintins - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Amazonas	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
18.02.26	Amazonas - Manauara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
05.03.26	Nacional AM - Amazonas	3:0
08.02.26	Amazonas - Nacional AM	1:0 penalties
17.01.26	Nacional AM - Amazonas	1:1
01.04.25	Nacional AM - Amazonas	1:2
12.03.25	Amazonas - Nacional AM	0:1
29.02.24	Amazonas - Nacional AM	0:0
16.02.24	Amazonas - Nacional AM	2:1

Nacional AM - Amazonas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide