The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Luqueño 24.5%
Draw 26.7%
Nacional Asuncion 48.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.4%
28.2%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
27.9%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Sportivo Luqueño (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nacional has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sportivo Luqueño may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Nacional is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueño has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:27 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Luqueño against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Nacional Asuncion
16
8
5
3
23:9
14
29
9
Sp. Luqueno
16
5
1
10
17:30
-13
16
Last Results with these Odds
Sportivo Luqueño - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.4%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Nacional Asuncion - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.35%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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