Match Info

Copa Paraguay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Leandro Ovelar (Doctor Juan León Mallorquin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	General Caballero JLM		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.78	2.3	Watch
	3.37	2.86	2.37
	2.09	3.08	3.68	Watch
	3.17	2.8	2.34	Watch
	3.5	2.95	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.38)	2.89 ↓ (3.13)	2.55 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General Caballero JLM
30.8%

Draw
32.4%

Nacional Asuncion
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

27.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General Caballero JLM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. General Caballero (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nacional (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - General Caballero (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. General Caballero (votes: 2 - 50%). Nacional (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guillen L. (G) 10. Arce S. (C) 5. Caceres L. 28. Franco J. 29. Gimenez O. 9. Gonzalez C. 16. Gonzalez J. 6. Mareco M. 4. Molinas G. 14. Rodas A. 8. Torales S.	30. Rojas S. (G) 6. Alfaro J. F. 10. Arrua C. 7. Bailone I. 5. Benitez G. 23. Espinola C. 33. Gaona Lugo O. (C) 4. Gutierrez T. 40. Jara F. 2. Maciel A. R. 27. Prieto R.
Substitutes
25. Aguilera A. D. 18. Armoa J. 30. Diaz E. 24. Espinola G. 7. Ferreira M. 12. Tales (G) 32. Vega G.	11. Almeida M. 20. Benitez H. 38. Gonzalez J. 13. Meza L. 14. Nunez C. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 18. Valdez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Franco J. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Rojas S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 2 - 1, Espinola C. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Nacional has had a series of home games.

Nacional might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, General Caballero won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Nacional Asuncion - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General Caballero JLM
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.10.25	General Caballero JLM - Deportivo Recoleta	1:3 ✺
27.10.25	Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM	1:4 ✺
Copa Paraguay
23.10.25	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	0:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.10.25	General Caballero JLM - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
10.10.25	Sportivo Trinidense - General Caballero JLM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWTL
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.11.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
27.10.25	Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
22.10.25	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.10.25	2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
06.10.25	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	1:1
25.07.25	Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	3:0
30.05.25	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	2:4
30.03.25	Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	1:0
25.10.24	Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	1:0
17.08.24	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	0:0
13.04.24	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	1:2

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