The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional Asuncion 65.1%
Draw 23.3%
Atlético Tembetary 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56%
26.4%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
25.5%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Asuncion's performance.
Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Tembetary might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Asuncion that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Tembetary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nacional Asuncion will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nacional Asuncion will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Rojas S. (G) 21. Franco F. 3. Canete Torres A. D. 14. Nunez C. (C) 5. Benitez G. 18. Valdez I. 40. Jara F. 6. Alfaro J. F. 37. Campss J. 10. Arrua C. 20. Benitez H.
1. Canteros T. (G) 2. Caceres L. 5. Marotta N. 17. Alonso W. 3. Olmedo S. 18. Rojas R. (C) 28. Mercado C. 31. Barreto O. 14. Esteche J. F. 11. Charpentier P. 40. Zarate D.
Substitutes
11. Almeida M. 9. Colman C. 23. Espinola C. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 38. Gonzalez J. 2. Maciel A. R. 13. Meza L. 16. Ortiz C. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 27. Prieto R. 25. Ramirez Antunez R. C.
26. Adorno P. 10. Candia W. 12. Chena J. (G) 6. Colman D. 32. Diaz J. 38. Favero C. 8. Ferreira E. 19. Gamarra Escobar R. A. 16. Guinazu L. 15. Morel A. 37. Pereira B. 7. Perez E.
Coaches
Sarabia P.
Escobar L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', Benitez H. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Benitez H. ⚽, Valdez I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zarate D. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
46', Barreto O. ↓, Favero C. ↑,
46', Campss J. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
46', Prieto R. 🟨,
48', Benitez H. 🟨,
52', Jara F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
52', Arrua C. ↓, Maciel A. R. ↑,
54', Perez E. 🟨,
59', Mercado C. ↓, Colman D. ↑,
60', Favero C. 🟨,
62', Esteche J. F. ↓, Gamarra Escobar R. A. ↑,
66', Franco F. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
73', Nunez C. 🟨,
75', Valdez I. 🟨,
77', Marotta N. ↓, Morel A. ↑,
78', Valdez I. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
85', Charpentier P. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Perez E. ⚽, Rojas R. (A),
90+9', Meza L. 🟥,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 12).
Recent performances by Nacional have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tembetary has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Tembetary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Nacional has had a series of away games.
In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
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Rojas S. (G) 
Alfaro J. F. 
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