Match Info

Date: 25 July 2021, Sunday


	Nacional Montevideo		Villa Española

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	9	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7.5
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.34	4.6	7.4
	1.35	5.33	8.99
	1.32	4.6	8
	1.35	4.85	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)	4.73 ↑ (4.46)	8.14 ↑ (7.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
69.2%

Draw
19.5%

Villa Española
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.5%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.9%

17.6%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Nacional Montevideo - Villa Española Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 16).

Recent matches Nacional is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Española is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nacional is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.21	Nacional Montevideo - Pevidem	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.07.21	Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.07.21	Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo	3:0 ✺
04.07.21	Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLW
- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.07.21	Villa Española - Deportivo Maldonado	2:0 ✺
03.07.21	Villa Española - Montevideo City Torque	2:3 ✺
26.06.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Villa Española	1:1 ✺
23.06.21	Villa Española - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
19.06.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Villa Española	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
02.10.16	Villa Española - Nacional Montevideo	0:1

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