Match Info

Paraibano - Round 6

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Nacional de Patos		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.75
	3.25	3	2.05
	3.3	3	2.08
	3.54	3.04	1.97
	3.53	3.15	2.03	Watch
	3.5	2.88	2.1
	3.58	3.08	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.02)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	2 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional de Patos
25.5%

Draw
29.4%

Botafogo PB
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

28%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-3%)

Nacional de Patos - Botafogo PB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gustavo (G) 22. Clebson 2. Fabricio Recife 3. Gabriel Alves 18. Negrito 9. Pingo 24. Renan 8. Renezinho 11. Rogerio 6. Tadeu 23. Thalison	1. Michael (G) 16. Bull 12. Erick 9. Henrique Dourado (C) 5. Jhonata Varela 15. Kayon 4. Marcio Silva 10. Nene 6. Patric Calmon 20. Thallyson 3. Yan Souto
Substitutes
17. Abnner Oliveira 7. De Araujo F. 10. Felipe Araujo 13. Gustavo 15. Jardel 19. Max Nobrega 30. Paulo Victor (G) 14. Pernambucano G. 16. Riquelme 21. Rodriguinho 4. Tulio 20. Vitinho	29. Anderson Chaves 11. Breiner C. 25. Caio Garcia 22. Dudu 37. Ed Carlos 18. Giovanni 8. Igor Maduro 14. Igor Morais 33. Julio Vaz 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 23. Max Walef (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Kayon 🟨,
18', Tadeu 🟨,
35', Thallyson 🟨,
41', Renan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Patric Calmon ↓, Igor Maduro ↑,
46', Bull 🟨,
59', Thallyson ↓, Anderson Chaves ↑,
60', Clebson ↓, Vitinho ↑,
60', Felipe Araujo ↓, Gustavo ↑,
66', Negrito ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
74', Rogerio ↓, De Araujo F. ↑,
74', Tadeu ↓, Riquelme ↑,
76', Henrique Dourado ↓, Dudu ↑,
76', Kayon ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
79', Rodriguinho 🟨,
79', Erick 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', Nene ↓, Caio Garcia ↑,
90+2', Pingo 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional de Patos won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Botafogo PB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nacional de Patos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional de Patos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
01.02.26	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
29.01.26	Esporte de Patos - Nacional de Patos	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Nacional de Patos - Confiança PB	4:4 ✺
22.01.26	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Nacional de Patos - Pombal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTTWW
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
31.01.26	Campinense - Botafogo PB	4:1 ✺
28.01.26	Botafogo PB - Pombal	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Botafogo PB - Sousa	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Confiança PB - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Botafogo PB - Esporte de Patos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
12.01.25	Botafogo PB - Nacional de Patos	4:2
19.02.24	Botafogo PB - Nacional de Patos	2:0
12.03.23	Nacional de Patos - Botafogo PB	0:2
26.04.22	Botafogo PB - Nacional de Patos	3:0
20.04.22	Nacional de Patos - Botafogo PB	3:1
19.05.21	Nacional de Patos - Botafogo PB	1:1
15.03.20	Botafogo PB - Nacional de Patos	4:1

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